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๐Ÿ“ฐ Fundamentals & Macroยทbeginner

Hawkish / Dovish

Hawkish = central bank wants to raise rates to fight inflation. Dovish = wants to cut rates to support growth. The two words you'll hear most in macro trading.

Hawkish and dovish are how traders describe central bank attitudes. A hawkish central bank is worried about inflation and leans toward raising interest rates. That makes the currency MORE valuable to hold (higher yield) so the currency usually strengthens. A dovish central bank is worried about slow growth or recession and leans toward CUTTING rates. Lower yields make the currency less attractive, so it usually weakens. These are relative, not absolute. A "hawkish hold" means they didn't raise rates but sounded aggressive about future hikes โ€” still bullish for the currency. A "dovish hike" means they raised rates but signaled they're done โ€” bearish for the currency. Reading the TONE of central bank language is a whole skill in itself.
Real trade example

ECB cut rates in Jun 2024 but Lagarde's tone was hawkish โ€” "this doesn't mean more cuts are coming." Euro actually RALLIED after the cut because the market read her as hawkish relative to expectations.

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